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The Storm Prediction Center issues convective outlooks (AC), consisting of categorical and probabilistic forecasts describing the general threat of severe convective storms over the contiguous United States for the next six to 192 hours (Day 1 through Day 8). These outlooks are labeled and issued by day, and are issued up to five times per day.
A high risk severe weather event is the greatest threat level issued by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) for convective weather events in the United States. On the scale from one to five, a high risk is a level five; thus, high risks are issued only when forecasters at the SPC are confident of a major severe weather outbreak.
High risk convective outlook issued by the Storm Prediction center at 13:00 UTC on May 6 May 6. Starting April 30, the Storm Prediction Center noted that certain models, including the ECMWF, forecasted a multi-day period of high instability and supportive wind shear across the Southern and Central Plains, and by May 1, a 15% risk was added across Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, and northern Texas.
In a comment on a Facebook post , the NWS said this afternoon's storms are "expected to be very dangerous". Thunderstorms will likely start in west Iowa around 2 p.m., making their way to Des ...
Scattered strong to severe storms are possible for most of Kentucky on Wednesday, according to the National Weather Service. The NWS’ severe weather outlook puts most of Kentucky, including ...
The moderate risk zone is the second highest risk zone in the NWS’ severe weather outlook. A tornado watch has been issued for Ballard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden ...
The Storm Prediction Center's Day 1 convective outlook for May 21, 2024, issued at 1300Z, indicating a moderate risk for severe weather over much of Iowa and nearby parts of Wisconsin, Illinois, Missouri, and southeastern Minnesota.
NWS also posted that although trends are improving, the threat of severe weather remains in central and western Oklahoma. 6:54 PM - We like the trends right now, but don't think we are comfortable ...
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