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Global Forecast System. An example of a forecast product from the GFS, in this case a 96-hour forecast of 850 mb geopotential height and temperature. The Global Forecast System ( GFS) is a global numerical weather prediction system containing a global computer model and variational analysis run by the United States' National Weather Service (NWS).
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ( ECMWF) is an independent intergovernmental organisation supported by most of the nations of Europe. It is based at three sites: Shinfield Park, Reading, United Kingdom; Bologna, Italy; and Bonn, Germany. It operates one of the largest supercomputer complexes in Europe and the world's ...
Integrated Forecast System. The Integrated Forecasting System ( IFS) is a global numerical weather prediction system jointly developed and maintained by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) based in Reading, England, and Météo-France based in Toulouse. [1] The version of the IFS run at ECMWF is often referred to as ...
The Global Environmental Multiscale Model ( GEM ), often known as the CMC model in North America, is an integrated forecasting and data assimilation system developed in the Recherche en Prévision Numérique (RPN), Meteorological Research Branch (MRB), and the Canadian Meteorological Centre (CMC). Along with the NWS 's Global Forecast System ...
Also known as spaghetti plots, these models show where a tropical system, such as a hurricane, may go. The more they are clustered together, the higher the confidence in the forecast.
ECMWF re-analysis. The ECMWF reanalysis project is a meteorological reanalysis project carried out by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The first reanalysis product, ERA-15, generated reanalyses for approximately 15 years, from December 1978 to February 1994. The second product, ERA-40 (originally intended as a 40 ...
The output of forecast models based on atmospheric dynamics is unable to resolve some details of the weather near the Earth's surface. As such, a statistical relationship between the output of a numerical weather model and the ensuing conditions at the ground was developed in the 1970s and 1980s, known as model output statistics (MOS).
This mathematical model is run four times a day and produces weather forecasts. Along with the NWS's Global Forecast System , which runs out to 16 days, the ECMWF 's Integrated Forecast System (IFS) and the CMC 's Global Environmental Multiscale Model (GEM), both of which run out 10 days, and the UK Met Office 's Unified Model , which runs out ...
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