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Numerical weather prediction ( NWP) uses mathematical models of the atmosphere and oceans to predict the weather based on current weather conditions. Though first attempted in the 1920s, it was not until the advent of computer simulation in the 1950s that numerical weather predictions produced realistic results.
The Weather Research and Forecasting ( WRF) Model [1] ( / ˈwɔːrf /) is a numerical weather prediction (NWP) system designed to serve both atmospheric research and operational forecasting needs. NWP refers to the simulation and prediction of the atmosphere with a computer model, and WRF is a set of software for this.
Research has been growing significantly since the 2010s, and weather-drone data may in future be added to numerical weather models. Modern weather predictions aid in timely evacuations and potentially save lives and prevent property damage. Commerce provides pilot reports along aircraft routes, and ship reports along shipping routes.
Statistical models were created based upon the three-dimensional fields produced by numerical weather models, surface observations, and the climatological conditions for specific locations. These statistical models are collectively referred to as model output statistics (MOS), [71] and were developed by the National Weather Service for their ...
Global Forecast System. An example of a forecast product from the GFS, in this case a 96-hour forecast of 850 mb geopotential height and temperature. The Global Forecast System ( GFS) is a global numerical weather prediction system containing a global computer model and variational analysis run by the United States' National Weather Service (NWS).
Statistical models were created based upon the three-dimensional fields produced by numerical weather models, surface observations, and the climatological conditions for specific locations. These statistical models are collectively referred to as model output statistics (MOS), [60] and were developed by the National Weather Service for their ...
The Climate Forecast System or coupled forecast system ( CFS) is a medium to long range numerical weather prediction and a climate model run by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) to bridge weather and climate timescales. [1] Version 2 became operational as CFSv2 in 2011.
Unified Model. The Unified Model is a numerical weather prediction and climate modeling software suite originally developed by the United Kingdom Met Office, [1] [2] and now both used and further developed by many weather-forecasting agencies around the world. [3] The Unified Model gets its name because a single model is used across a range of ...