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  2. Weather forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_forecasting

    The Met Office's Unified Model is run six days into the future, [55] the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model is run out to 10 days into the future, [56] while the Global Forecast System model run by the Environmental Modeling Center is run 16 days into the future. [57]

  3. Numerical weather prediction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Numerical_weather_prediction

    Extremely small errors in temperature, winds, or other initial inputs given to numerical models will amplify and double every five days, [61] making it impossible for long-range forecasts—those made more than two weeks in advance—to predict the state of the atmosphere with any degree of forecast skill. Furthermore, existing observation ...

  4. Global Forecast System - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Forecast_System

    Global Forecast System. An example of a forecast product from the GFS, in this case a 96-hour forecast of 850 mb geopotential height and temperature. The Global Forecast System (GFS) is a global numerical weather prediction system containing a global computer model and variational analysis run by the United States' National Weather Service (NWS).

  5. Ensemble forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ensemble_forecasting

    Ensemble forecasting is a method used in or within numerical weather prediction. Instead of making a single forecast of the most likely weather, a set (or ensemble) of forecasts is produced. This set of forecasts aims to give an indication of the range of possible future states of the atmosphere. Ensemble forecasting is a form of Monte Carlo ...

  6. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Centre_for_Medium...

    ECMWF aims to provide accurate medium-range global weather forecasts out to 15 days and seasonal forecasts out to 12 months. [12] Its products are provided to the national weather services of its member states and co-operating states as a complement to their national short-range and climatological activities, and those national states use ECMWF's products for their own national duties, in ...

  7. History of numerical weather prediction - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_numerical...

    History of numerical weather prediction. The difference between the forecast and the actual weather outcome for forecasts 3, 5, 7, and 10 days in advance. The history of numerical weather prediction considers how current weather conditions as input into mathematical models of the atmosphere and oceans to predict the weather and future sea state ...

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